Regulatory Credit Supply Shocks, Reallocation, And Real Economic Outcomes
Author(s) Aishwarya Bhamidipati, Nishant Kashyap, Vidhya Soundararajan and Prasanna Tantri Publication CAFRAL

ABSTRACT

We study how regulatory interventions targeting weak banks affect credit allocation and real economic outcomes. Using staggered bank-level exposure to regulatory restrictions and the universe of collateralized corporate loans matched with firm-level financial data, we identify contractions in bank credit supply. We find that affected banks reduce lending disproportionately to high-risk firms, which subsequently experience persistent declines in sales and investment and are largely unable to substitute toward non-bank financing. In contrast, low-risk firms in exposed industries receive relatively more credit and expand investment and employment. These patterns are consistent with a reallocation of credit and productive resources from high-risk to low-risk firms and are accompanied by modest improvements in industry-level productivity in more exposed sectors.


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